THE EU AFTER BREXIT

Oct. 31, 2018, 2:15 p.m.

THE EU AFTER BREXIT

 
There are many “Unions” in the world. Mainly they are concentrating on subjects like commercial, security, humanitarian and so on. These Unions are the only themed unions that concentrate only on one topic. In addition, the majority of these unions include the capital groups and the capital movements.
 

Before, the EU was only established as a Coal and Steel Union, today it has been transformed into a complicated partnership, for the future generations to live in better conditions in the context of economic and human norms.While other unions concentrate on one issue in general, the EU functions in a wide range, focusing on a better future for people in and around the world. Naturally, such a wide range of unity, brings also many problems.

After BREXIT, this issue became a key starting point for the EU, leading the union to new searches and future scenarios. After this point, the studies have revealed five scenarios. This scenario was presented to the public by the European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker on March 1, 2017 as “White Paper”.


1. Carrying on
2. Nothing but the Single Market
3. Those who want more, do more
4. Doing less more efficiently
5. Doing much more together


For more information about scenarios;

https://www.ikv.org.tr/images/files/beyazicler.pdf
https://www.ikv.org.tr/images/files/ikv_degerlendirme_notu_197.pdf

 

The main issue here is the fact that the EU, which is in stark contrast to the concentration of other unions in a single area, is touching the whole life of a population of approximately 500 million people, currently covering 28 countries.
Below is a summary of the interest rates for the European Union;
25% of the world population in the 1900s
11% of the world population in the 1960s
6% of the world's population in 2015
and will be approximately 4% in 2060 


The Union has complex problems because it contains 28 states. While some of them have very strong economic instruments, some of them are not so strong. Unfortunately, this situation creates different perceptions among people. Different countries are affected at different rates during periods of crisis and during rise periods. For example, in countries with strong economies, there are no major changes in the crisis and after, while in the weaker economies exit from the crisis creates more distinct differences. This creates rather discontent among the citizens of the powerful economy.

A remarkable case is that when looking at the White Paper scenarios: While BREXIT has begun to question the future of the EU, the fact that the parties, which predominate nationalist elements, are promising to leave the EU in the future makes the issue even more important.

Another point is the people, in the context of BREXIT, whose saying “no to the EU” is a matter that should be discussed. In the UK, the issue becomes even more important given the demonstrations of the supporters of the EU. It is obvious that the discussions about the future of the EU will be the subject of the agenda. But if there is a reality, then this is: the life of the EU will somehow evolve and continue. Europe has some necessities in this regard.
These are as follows;
Economy,
Population of young manpower
Security,
Power in world politics.

 

For additional information;

https://ec.europa.eu/commission/sites/beta-political/files/white_paper_on_the_future_of_europe_en.pdf

 

In the economic sense, the EU's ability to keep its present level depends on the common scientific and technological production. If the production of common-budget science is disrupted, it can cause major wounds in the European economy. Statistical information shows that in 2030 the world's oldest population would be Europeans. Naturally, after the discontinuation of scientific production, the active manpower will be inadequate and Europe will go out of position to compete with the Far East.
Although the security issue is a problem today, it will not be more efficient to provide one by one. Today, the EU has created an unprecedented peace environment in European history. As the deterioration of the peace environment threatens everything, it is unlikely that members of the union will be at such a risk. The protests that started in the UK after the BREXIT sound like the voice of those who do not want to risk.

 

Kaynak: https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_scenarios_for_europe_deciphering_junckers_white_paper

 

Cover photo: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/news/commission-presents-white-paper-future-europe-2017-mar-01_en